Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.4% vs Nash 48.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 50.2%
Defensive zone
Coleman 66.8%
Neutral zone
Coleman 60.6%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Coleman
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coleman
Nash
Last 5: Coleman 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Coleman
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Coleman
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (430)
47.7% (801)
+0.4%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
51.2% (41)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
52.3% (107)
-9.6%
On power play, Nash has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Coleman is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Coleman shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Coleman
Nash
Home
47.5% (221)
50.1% (467)
Away
46.5% (316)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Coleman
Nash
P1
46.7%
52.1%
P2
52.4%
44.9%
P3
42.1%
47.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |