Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 57.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Jarnkrok
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Nash
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Jarnkrok
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jarnkrok
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
47.7% (801)
+5.1%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
51.2% (41)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
52.3% (107)
-8.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Jarnkrok is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Nash
Home
52.7% (241)
50.1% (467)
Away
50.0% (278)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Nash
P1
49.4%
52.1%
P2
51.7%
44.9%
P3
51.9%
47.3%
OT
75.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Riley Nash |