Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Nash 48.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 65.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 68.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Brassard
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Nash
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Brassard
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Brassard
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
48.3% (449)
+7.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
37.5% (8)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
45.5% (55)
+29.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nash
Home
52.3% (174)
51.6% (275)
Away
57.9% (183)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Brassard
Nash
P1
47.1%
52.7%
P2
60.6%
43.9%
P3
57.4%
47.7%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |