Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Nash 49.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 57.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 78.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 65.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Nielsen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Nash
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Nielsen
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Nielsen
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
50.9% (481)
+3.3%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
27.3% (11)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
40.0% (70)
+2.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Nielsen shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Nash
Home
55.3% (608)
46.5% (282)
Away
52.3% (606)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Nielsen
Nash
P1
54.1%
48.5%
P2
52.6%
47.3%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
OT
65.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Riley Nash |