Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.0% vs Nash 46.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 57.2%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 59.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Gauthier
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gauthier
Nash
Last 5: Gauthier 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Gauthier
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (420)
46.1% (306)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
38.1% (21)
+25.1%
On power play, Gauthier has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Gauthier is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Gauthier shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Nash
Home
54.4% (237)
46.5% (157)
Away
52.9% (210)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Gauthier
Nash
P1
53.2%
47.7%
P2
57.8%
39.8%
P3
49.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |