Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.8% vs Nash 46.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 59.3%
Defensive zone
McCann 53.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 50.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
McCann
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCann
Nash
Last 6: McCann 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
McCann
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (531)
46.1% (306)
-0.1%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
16.7% (6)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
38.1% (21)
+11.9%
On power play, McCann has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. McCann is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
McCann shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
McCann
Nash
Home
46.0% (263)
46.5% (157)
Away
46.4% (332)
43.8% (176)
By Period
McCann
Nash
P1
48.9%
47.7%
P2
45.0%
39.8%
P3
44.7%
47.2%
Final 5 min
43.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jared McCann |