Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.1%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Nash 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 52.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Larsson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Nash
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Larsson
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
50.9% (481)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
27.3% (11)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
40.0% (70)
+10.0%
On power play, Larsson has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Larsson shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Larsson
Nash
Home
51.7% (265)
46.5% (282)
Away
46.3% (268)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Larsson
Nash
P1
58.8%
48.5%
P2
44.1%
47.3%
P3
44.0%
51.0%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Riley Nash |