Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 66.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 67.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Larsson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Nash
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
47.7% (801)
+7.1%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
51.2% (41)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
52.3% (107)
+2.3%
On power play, Nash has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Larsson is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Larsson shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Larsson
Nash
Home
57.5% (301)
50.1% (467)
Away
51.8% (338)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Larsson
Nash
P1
54.8%
52.1%
P2
49.1%
44.9%
P3
60.0%
47.3%
Final 5 min
60.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |