Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Nash 46.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Tavares
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Nash
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
46.0% (615)
+2.7%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
58.6% (29)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
27.3% (22)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Tavares is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Tavares shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nash
Home
50.0% (542)
54.1% (320)
Away
48.2% (587)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Tavares
Nash
P1
52.2%
44.8%
P2
50.0%
47.5%
P3
45.1%
44.9%
OT
48.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |