Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Nash 49.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 74.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 82.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Drouin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drouin
Nash
Last 6: Drouin 3-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
3
1
Drouin
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Drouin
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Drouin
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (140)
50.9% (481)
-7.3%
Power Play
43.6% (78)
27.3% (11)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.0% (70)
+10.0%
On power play, Drouin has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Drouin is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Drouin shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Drouin
Nash
Home
45.4% (108)
46.5% (282)
Away
42.0% (112)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Drouin
Nash
P1
46.0%
48.5%
P2
38.6%
47.3%
P3
46.1%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
43.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |