Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Nash 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 70.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 55.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 65.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Hayes
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hayes
Nash
Last 8: Hayes 5-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Hayes
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Hayes
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
50.9% (481)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
27.3% (11)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
40.0% (70)
+5.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Hayes shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nash
Home
46.6% (459)
46.5% (282)
Away
44.8% (509)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Hayes
Nash
P1
43.0%
48.5%
P2
49.5%
47.3%
P3
44.7%
51.0%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |