Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bjugstad wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.1% vs Nash 49.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 80.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Bjugstad
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bjugstad
Nash
Last 6: Bjugstad 1-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Bjugstad
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Bjugstad
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (340)
50.9% (481)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.0% (50)
27.3% (11)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (70)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bjugstad is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nash is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nash
Home
49.4% (237)
46.5% (282)
Away
44.8% (154)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nash
P1
46.4%
48.5%
P2
50.4%
47.3%
P3
45.6%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |