Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Nash 50.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 56.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Bonino
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bonino
Nash
Last 7: Bonino 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Bonino
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Bonino
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (926)
50.1% (752)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.6% (109)
53.8% (104)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (210)
53.9% (102)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Bonino shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Bonino
Nash
Home
47.8% (653)
51.0% (502)
Away
47.0% (592)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Bonino
Nash
P1
45.9%
49.4%
P2
47.0%
50.9%
P3
49.4%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Riley Nash |