Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 53.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 70.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 63.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Bonino
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bonino
Nash
Last 7: Bonino 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Bonino
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Bonino
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (771)
47.7% (801)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
51.2% (41)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (169)
52.3% (107)
-8.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Bonino shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Bonino
Nash
Home
56.5% (531)
50.1% (467)
Away
51.7% (439)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Bonino
Nash
P1
56.7%
52.1%
P2
48.1%
44.9%
P3
58.0%
47.3%
OT
52.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
59.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Riley Nash |