Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.3% vs Nash 45.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 67.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 87.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Backstrom
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backstrom
Nash
Last 5: Backstrom 4-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (654)
44.8% (270)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.9% (110)
50.0% (10)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (76)
22.2% (9)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backstrom is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Backstrom shoots left. Nash is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nash
Home
52.0% (400)
44.2% (147)
Away
50.9% (440)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Backstrom
Nash
P1
51.6%
39.1%
P2
51.1%
47.8%
P3
50.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Riley Nash |