Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.4% vs Nash 46.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 73.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 84.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 64.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Backstrom
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backstrom
Nash
Last 6: Backstrom 5-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
0
Backstrom
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,137)
46.0% (615)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.8% (194)
58.6% (29)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (84)
27.3% (22)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backstrom is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Backstrom shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nash
Home
52.9% (735)
54.1% (320)
Away
47.8% (680)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Backstrom
Nash
P1
51.1%
44.8%
P2
47.2%
47.5%
P3
52.9%
44.9%
OT
53.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |