Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 62.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 74.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 66.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Backstrom
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Backstrom
Nash
Last 10: Backstrom 2-8 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
4
Backstrom
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Backstrom
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
5
Backstrom
Nash
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,104)
47.7% (801)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
51.2% (41)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (89)
52.3% (107)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Backstrom is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (499).
Backstrom shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Nash
Home
52.6% (705)
50.1% (467)
Away
49.7% (666)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Backstrom
Nash
P1
51.1%
52.1%
P2
51.0%
44.9%
P3
51.4%
47.3%
OT
55.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Riley Nash |