Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Nash wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 50.9% vs Johansen 51.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 56.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 60.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Nash
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Nash
Johansen
Last 10: Nash 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
8
0
Nash
Johansen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
7
5
Nash
Johansen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Nash
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (752)
51.6% (1,127)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
53.6% (267)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (102)
51.6% (244)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nash is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Nash shoots right. Johansen is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Nash
Johansen
Home
51.0% (502)
55.0% (809)
Away
50.9% (456)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Nash
Johansen
P1
49.4%
50.7%
P2
50.9%
54.4%
P3
52.1%
50.5%
OT
63.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Riley Nash |