Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Johansen 52.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 82.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 80.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Nash
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nash
Johansen
Last 6: Nash 3-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
0
Nash
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nash
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Nash
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
49.4% (1,010)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
62.3% (236)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
67.2% (67)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Nash shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Nash
Johansen
Home
56.3% (183)
54.7% (655)
Away
48.6% (214)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Nash
Johansen
P1
58.9%
52.2%
P2
51.0%
50.7%
P3
46.5%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Riley Nash |