Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.8% vs Johansen 51.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 85.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 74.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Nash
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nash
Johansen
Last 7: Nash 5-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Nash
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
4
0
Nash
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
0
Nash
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (283)
51.5% (615)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.3% (140)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
46.3% (67)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Nash shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Nash
Johansen
Home
50.6% (178)
52.4% (389)
Away
48.6% (148)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Nash
Johansen
P1
46.8%
53.4%
P2
45.5%
49.1%
P3
56.4%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |