Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 82.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 70.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 75.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Nash
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
24
(42 meetings)
18
24
Nash
O'Reilly
Last 10: Nash 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
12
Nash
O'Reilly
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
6
Nash
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Nash
O'Reilly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (4,621)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.5%
Power Play
51.0% (249)
58.8% (3,445)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (550)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Nash shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Nash
O'Reilly
Home
50.2% (2,740)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.7% (2,681)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Nash
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
47.9%
57.0%
P3
48.0%
55.1%
OT
68.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |