Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 68.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Nash
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
56.6% (1,064)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
60.4% (260)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
54.0% (261)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Nash shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Nash
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (183)
54.9% (801)
Away
48.6% (214)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Nash
O'Reilly
P1
58.9%
58.0%
P2
51.0%
56.7%
P3
46.5%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%