Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 82.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.2%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Nash
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nash
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
48.0% (275)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
48.1% (52)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
53.1% (32)
-7.2%
On power play, Nash has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Nash shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Nash
Reinhart
Home
56.3% (183)
49.8% (201)
Away
48.6% (214)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Nash
Reinhart
P1
58.9%
54.8%
P2
51.0%
40.5%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |