Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Nash
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Nash
Stamkos
Last 10: Nash 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
5
Nash
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
7
4
Nash
Stamkos
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nash
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (4,621)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.0% (249)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (550)
49.7% (825)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Nash shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Nash
Stamkos
Home
50.2% (2,740)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
46.7% (2,681)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Nash
Stamkos
P1
49.0%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
52.7%
P3
48.0%
50.9%
OT
68.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |