Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Nash
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nash
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
0
Nash
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
49.3% (789)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.9% (181)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
54.1% (98)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Nash shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Nash
Stamkos
Home
56.3% (183)
52.0% (512)
Away
48.6% (214)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Nash
Stamkos
P1
58.9%
42.1%
P2
51.0%
56.4%
P3
46.5%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Riley Nash |