Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nash wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 46.2% vs Bozak 53.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 78.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 57.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Nash
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nash
Bozak
Last 7: Nash 4-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
3
2
Nash
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (306)
55.4% (719)
-9.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
45.1% (51)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
50.0% (60)
-11.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nash is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Nash shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Nash
Bozak
Home
46.5% (157)
55.5% (443)
Away
43.8% (176)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Nash
Bozak
P1
47.7%
53.3%
P2
39.8%
54.7%
P3
47.2%
55.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Riley Nash |