Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Bozak 46.2% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Bozak 68.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 62.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Nash
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
46.7% (338)
+7.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (6)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
32.6% (43)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Nash shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Nash
Bozak
Home
56.3% (183)
47.9% (194)
Away
48.6% (214)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Nash
Bozak
P1
58.9%
40.2%
P2
51.0%
51.4%
P3
46.5%
43.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%