Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Johnson 53.6% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 79.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Nash
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
61.9% (42)
-7.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.6% (9)
+1.5%
On even strength, Johnson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Nash shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Nash
Johnson
Home
56.3% (183)
52.0% (25)
Away
48.6% (214)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Nash
Johnson
P1
58.9%
72.0%
P2
51.0%
66.7%
P3
46.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%