Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.6% vs Girgensons 46.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 52.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 55.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Nash
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nash
Girgensons
Last 5: Nash 2-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Nash
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (341)
47.3% (298)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
60.0% (5)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
28.1% (32)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nash is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Nash shoots right. Girgensons is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Nash
Girgensons
Home
50.0% (200)
42.1% (152)
Away
48.9% (190)
48.6% (183)
By Period
Nash
Girgensons
P1
47.1%
49.6%
P2
60.6%
36.6%
P3
38.1%
50.0%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |