Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Girgensons 49.9% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 57.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 60.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Nash
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
49.0% (210)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.6% (22)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
47.3% (55)
-1.4%
On power play, Girgensons has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Nash shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Nash
Girgensons
Home
56.3% (183)
52.1% (142)
Away
48.6% (214)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Nash
Girgensons
P1
58.9%
54.3%
P2
51.0%
49.1%
P3
46.5%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%