Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 89.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 84.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Ryan
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ryan
Sheahan
Last 6: Ryan 5-1 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
50.7% (357)
+9.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (8)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
40.2% (194)
+3.0%
On power play, Sheahan has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Ryan
Sheahan
Home
56.7% (254)
44.8% (248)
Away
55.0% (258)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Ryan
Sheahan
P1
56.9%
46.2%
P2
51.7%
50.5%
P3
59.2%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |