Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Sheahan 49.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 85.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 61.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Spezza
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Sheahan
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
3
Spezza
Sheahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Spezza
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
50.9% (613)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
55.0% (20)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
42.8% (201)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Spezza shoots right. Sheahan is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Spezza
Sheahan
Home
56.0% (175)
51.1% (409)
Away
52.5% (223)
47.1% (425)
By Period
Spezza
Sheahan
P1
56.8%
46.8%
P2
54.3%
54.6%
P3
50.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |