Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.2% vs Sheahan 46.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 65.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 88.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 82.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Spaling
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Spaling
Sheahan
Last 9: Spaling 7-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Spaling
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Sheahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
0
Spaling
Sheahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (461)
45.9% (619)
+6.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
46.7% (45)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
44.9% (118)
+1.7%
On power play, Spaling has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Spaling shoots left. Sheahan is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Spaling
Sheahan
Home
57.2% (297)
44.8% (402)
Away
45.7% (304)
46.8% (380)
By Period
Spaling
Sheahan
P1
54.2%
48.9%
P2
46.6%
44.8%
P3
54.3%
43.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |