Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.2% vs Sheahan 52.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.7%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 74.7%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 62.7%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stastny
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stastny
Sheahan
Last 8: Stastny 2-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Sheahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Stastny
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Stastny
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (657)
52.6% (544)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.0% (118)
60.0% (10)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
50.7% (134)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Stastny shoots left. Sheahan is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Stastny
Sheahan
Home
53.0% (464)
51.9% (376)
Away
56.7% (383)
52.9% (312)
By Period
Stastny
Sheahan
P1
47.9%
57.6%
P2
59.6%
48.5%
P3
54.9%
52.8%
OT
55.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |