Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sheahan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 79.9%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 84.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 56.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Sheahan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Sheahan
Steel
Last 10: Sheahan 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Sheahan
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
4
Sheahan
Steel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
49.7% (638)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
60.3% (63)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
42.4% (33)
+0.4%
On power play, Steel has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Sheahan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sheahan shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Steel
Home
51.1% (409)
47.3% (349)
Away
47.1% (425)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Sheahan
Steel
P1
46.8%
51.2%
P2
54.6%
49.8%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |