Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheahan wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 47.5% vs Steel 49.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 73.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 75.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.9%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Sheahan
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sheahan
Steel
Last 6: Sheahan 3-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Sheahan
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
0
Sheahan
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Sheahan
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (357)
49.3% (383)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (194)
14.3% (7)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Sheahan shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Steel
Home
44.8% (248)
49.4% (180)
Away
48.9% (311)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Sheahan
Steel
P1
46.2%
51.9%
P2
50.5%
43.8%
P3
44.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |