Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 50.1% vs Aho 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.9%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 75.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 53.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Sheahan
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Sheahan
Aho
Last 10: Sheahan 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
9
Sheahan
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
1
Sheahan
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
0
Sheahan
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (4,968)
50.1% (6,619)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (322)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,068)
46.3% (464)
-2.0%
On power play, Aho has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Sheahan shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Aho
Home
51.1% (3,247)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
49.0% (3,111)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Sheahan
Aho
P1
51.3%
51.1%
P2
51.2%
52.0%
P3
48.1%
50.7%
OT
35.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |