Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 53.8% vs Hertl 50.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 86.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 62.7%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Sheahan
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sheahan
Hertl
Last 7: Sheahan 5-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Sheahan
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
0
Sheahan
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
0
Sheahan
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (766)
51.5% (891)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
54.8% (135)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (239)
41.5% (130)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sheahan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Sheahan shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Hertl
Home
57.3% (529)
52.6% (544)
Away
51.0% (504)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Sheahan
Hertl
P1
56.5%
49.4%
P2
55.8%
51.7%
P3
50.8%
51.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |