Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sheahan wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 47.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 91.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 51.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 71.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Sheahan
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Sheahan
Hertl
Last 10: Sheahan 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Sheahan
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
6
0
Sheahan
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sheahan
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (357)
51.6% (1,084)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (194)
44.1% (136)
-3.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Sheahan shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Hertl
Home
44.8% (248)
55.2% (696)
Away
48.9% (311)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Sheahan
Hertl
P1
46.2%
55.4%
P2
50.5%
54.8%
P3
44.7%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |