Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Schremp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Schremp 46.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 78.9%
Defensive zone
Smithson 96.6%
Neutral zone
Smithson 93.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Smithson
Schremp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Smithson
Schremp
Last 6: Smithson 5-1 Schremp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Schremp
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Schremp
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Schremp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Schremp
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
46.8% (410)
+13.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
44.9% (69)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
25.0% (4)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schremp shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Smithson shoots right. Schremp is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Smithson
Schremp
Home
59.2% (534)
48.3% (238)
Away
55.5% (472)
44.0% (248)
By Period
Smithson
Schremp
P1
56.1%
54.1%
P2
58.0%
44.1%
P3
58.6%
41.5%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |