Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 45.9% vs Aho 52.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fabbri 65.6%
Defensive zone
Fabbri 66.2%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 64.7%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Fabbri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Fabbri
Aho
Last 10: Fabbri 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Fabbri
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
1
0
Fabbri
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Fabbri
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (160)
52.4% (622)
-9.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
On power play, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Fabbri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Fabbri shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Aho
Home
45.1% (91)
54.9% (359)
Away
42.4% (99)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Fabbri
Aho
P1
46.2%
51.6%
P2
44.8%
53.3%
P3
39.7%
52.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |