Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 47.4% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Fabbri 66.1%
Defensive zone
Fabbri 64.0%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 68.8%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Fabbri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Fabbri
Aho
Last 10: Fabbri 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Fabbri
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Fabbri
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
6
Fabbri
Aho
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (531)
50.1% (6,619)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.0% (168)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
46.3% (464)
-3.4%
On power play, Aho has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Fabbri is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Fabbri shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Aho
Home
48.6% (368)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
45.4% (359)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Fabbri
Aho
P1
44.1%
51.1%
P2
49.0%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
50.7%
OT
37.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |