Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.3%). Fabbri wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 47.4% vs Downie 47.5% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 57.0%
Defensive zone
Downie 50.3%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 52.5%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Fabbri
Downie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (531)
48.1% (131)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.0% (168)
43.7% (71)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Fabbri has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Fabbri is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Fabbri shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Downie
Home
48.6% (368)
49.5% (93)
Away
45.4% (359)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Fabbri
Downie
P1
44.1%
41.8%
P2
49.0%
38.6%
P3
48.2%
60.0%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%