Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.5%). Fabbri wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 49.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 63.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Fabbri
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (89)
49.1% (731)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
54.3% (81)
-4.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fabbri is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Fabbri shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Gourde
Home
50.0% (50)
50.9% (479)
Away
49.2% (59)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Fabbri
Gourde
P1
51.9%
51.2%
P2
51.2%
49.8%
P3
51.5%
47.5%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.5%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%