Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ruzicka wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Thomas 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 57.3%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 56.2%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 55.0%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Ruzicka
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ruzicka
Thomas
Last 6: Ruzicka 1-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Ruzicka
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Ruzicka
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Ruzicka
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (219)
49.0% (910)
-2.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.5% (142)
-28.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Ruzicka is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Ruzicka shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Thomas
Home
47.8% (134)
47.3% (514)
Away
43.8% (89)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Ruzicka
Thomas
P1
43.4%
50.4%
P2
51.9%
47.5%
P3
42.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |