Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Thomas 54.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 74.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 61.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Nazar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nazar
Thomas
Last 7: Nazar 4-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nazar
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
0
Nazar
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Nazar
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
55.3% (990)
-10.1%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
54.2% (190)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
52.5% (158)
-7.7%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Nazar is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Nazar shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Nazar
Thomas
Home
43.4% (196)
55.1% (690)
Away
45.9% (185)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Nazar
Thomas
P1
47.3%
55.5%
P2
40.3%
56.4%
P3
46.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |