Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Danforth wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Thomas 52.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 57.0%
Defensive zone
Danforth 61.0%
Neutral zone
Danforth 58.6%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Danforth
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Danforth
Thomas
Last 7: Danforth 1-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Danforth
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Danforth
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
53.2% (1,166)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
56.9% (262)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
48.4% (221)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Danforth shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Danforth
Thomas
Home
52.0% (196)
51.6% (830)
Away
44.1% (161)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Danforth
Thomas
P1
48.2%
52.7%
P2
52.8%
55.6%
P3
42.2%
50.6%
OT
83.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |