Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 65.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 74.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
McLeod
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McLeod
Thomas
Last 5: McLeod 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
McLeod
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McLeod
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
53.2% (1,166)
+11.6%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
56.9% (262)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
48.4% (221)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
McLeod
Thomas
Home
64.3% (308)
51.6% (830)
Away
65.7% (344)
54.7% (819)
By Period
McLeod
Thomas
P1
62.9%
52.7%
P2
64.8%
55.6%
P3
67.9%
50.6%
OT
37.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |