Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Thomas 49.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Schmaltz
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Schmaltz
Thomas
Last 8: Schmaltz 1-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
5
Schmaltz
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
49.0% (910)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
53.5% (142)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
53.3% (75)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Schmaltz shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Thomas
Home
41.6% (125)
47.3% (514)
Away
54.4% (114)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Schmaltz
Thomas
P1
40.0%
50.4%
P2
59.5%
47.5%
P3
45.0%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |