Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Thomas 52.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 55.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 80.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Schmaltz
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
53.2% (1,166)
-14.7%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
56.9% (262)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
48.4% (221)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Schmaltz shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Thomas
Home
38.0% (184)
51.6% (830)
Away
43.5% (216)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Schmaltz
Thomas
P1
40.3%
52.7%
P2
39.9%
55.6%
P3
40.7%
50.6%
OT
70.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |